Archive for June, 2009

Giving Up Before The Ball Is Snapped

Here we go again

used with permission of the artist, "Tom Tomorrow"

America is facing a health care crisis, and Democratic leaders seem aware of it, but have decided that conceding every policy point to the Republicans before the legislative process begins is the best approach for achieving meaningful reform. That way, when Blue Dogs and the GOP push back, Congress can produce a meaningless, watered-down placebo perfect for giving the appearance of action while 22,000 continue to die unnecessarily every year. It makes me proud to be an American.

It started when our post-political President developed the framework of reform by inviting the insurance companies to hand over their wish list: mandates for coverage, no restrictions on anti-competitive business practices, and the ability to cherry-pick young healthy people out of the system while dumping everyone else into a public program that will eventually have to shut down for lack of funds. Congressional leaders then showed remarkable courage by placing the most meaningful reform option off the table: no nasty single-payer system. After all, a policy supported by only 59 percent of Americans absent any positive propaganda whatsoever is clearly a pie-in-the sky political non-starter. How dare 300 million mere citizens and taxpayers think that their lives and health are more important than the profits of tens of thousands of shareholders (i.e., people who matter)? The nerve of this rabble!

So instead of stupidly solving the problem of preventable disease, spiraling costs, 50 million uninsured, and about 75 million more insured in name only by risk-pooling and lifetime coverage, our paladins of Change are wisely choosing to construct another giant giveaway to industry sure to move this nation’s insolvency date just a little closer. Boy, I sure am glad none of those unrealistic nut-jobs were able to derail this sober political process!

After all, it worked for Global Warming!

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Back For Another Round?

Former Stem-Cell Activist and 2008 US House nominee Faye Armitage

Faye Armitage, the 2008 Democratic US House nominee who raised $32,929 and suffered a twenty-four point defeat to Seventh District Congressman  and all-around parasite John Mica, told me tonight that she is still “testing the waters” and that her decision would hinge on how successful her fund-raising efforts were. She did not choose to quantify her money test, nor to comment on the persistent rumors about her decision to drop out of the race.

No Democrat, however well-funded, has made a dent in John Mica since 1992, so Ms. Armitage is not to blame for the size of her defeat, but I fail to see what has changed since 2008 to change her fund-raising chances. John Mica will run a campaign specifically designed to deny an opponent the chance to confront him in public. He has the backing of the business community and of his Party and will point to the truckloads of pork he has shipped into the District. In the lower-turnout race likely to happen in 2010, there will be only a small number of votes on the table and DPI will be under 40%.

When the Florida Legislature redraws District boundaries for the 2012 cycle, Mica, if still in office, will have an opportunity to retire gracefully and hand a safe seat to another right-wing water-carrier for business interests. This is probably the best chance for a Democrat to poach the seat before 2016 or 2018. If Armitage can build a fund-raising and message team capable of closing the name-recognition, culture and ideological gaps that stand between her and the District’s swing voters, then I wish her well. But not yet seeing a difference in tactics between cycles, I’ll suspend judgment.

None of the Democrats that have run against Mica since 2002 have had any record of elected office, so they faced a name-recognition and credibility gap that made the already-difficult task of knocking off an incumbent almost impossible. We all want to see an insurgent, small-donor campaign beat a troglodyte like Mica, but a Party hack who’s paid her dues would have a real shot and not simply be fighting the good fight.

The one veteran politican to come anywhere this race was four-term former State Rep. Joyce Cusack, who rumor has it, had contemplated a run. I suspect that if the DCCC targets the seat for its Red-to-Blue project to flip poachable Republican seats, Cusack and other candidates would enter the race. Or maybe it would be the other way around.

There are, of course, three other Democrats running for the seat, two announced and filed and one testing the waters. But Peter Silva, Stephen Bacon and Heather Beaven are all political newcomers. Beaven seems most able to sell a compelling narrative, but even she could do everything right, get every available dollar, and still be defeated by low DPI, low turnout, the name recognition gap, a free-media drought, and good old-fashioned public apathy and ignorance. Meanwhile, of course, many local Republican State Legislators are going unopposed.

I’m continually amazed that anyone chooses to run in this kind of race, and I’ve been right there with a few insurgent candidates myself. I admire them, but I wish I could inject some of my hard-nosed perspective into their decision to run and for which office. I wish they could understand, as I do, that these races are less tests of ideology and character than numbers games.

Of course, if everybody were Party hacks, I wouldn’t be in the Party …

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June 24 Appearance on “People Power Hour” Is Now Online

You can listen or download to my segment: “Grading the Obama Administration: at:

http://www.peoplepowerhour.com/audio/062409.mp3

My segment starts at about 17 minutes in.

Rants of Rob at Permanent Home!

Rants of Rob now lives at its permanent home:

rantsofrob.com

Please change your bookmarks. Thank You.

Florida Progressive Coalition Blog Top Stories June 27, 2009

I’d like to thank Kenneth Quinell for naming my post,

Thinking the Unthinkable, as the number one post in

Florida Progressive Coalition Blog Top Stories  for

June 27, 2009.

Thanks for your welcome into the Florida

Progessive Netroots Community!

Rob Field

field.rob@gmail.com

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Day of the Dreamer?

RAWI was originally going to call this blog “The Power of Crisis,” until I discovered that world-class scam artist Tony Robbins had beaten me to the name. The name was evocative because it seemed to crystallize the idea that there is opportunity in the impending collapse of much of our way of life. The inertia and apathy that helped to cement the post-war order can’t survive when the people who hold its assumptions can no longer breathe.

A crisis is what happens when one factor slips in a previously tolerable situation. Those living in the situation know, or should know, that things are getting worse. They patch or ignore the symptoms of the problem, hoping that things will get better or tell themselves that things are not so bad. Then the thing that allows them to practice this self-deception disappears. In a moment, a bad but tolerable situation becomes untenable in a way that no amount of self-deception can disguise.

A crisis is a fork in the road of our lives. It can lead us to death or to a kind of rebirth. Time and memory are divided into pre-crisis and post-crisis. It can rob us of everything we need to survive and adapt, or it can provide us energy, discipline and determination that we didn’t know we had. These resources can allow us to tackle the challenges we face. We can, if we are lucky enough to survive it, come to see a crisis as our salvation.

Other civilizations have declined, of course. Neither the Romans nor the British were famous for their ecology or human development. But the scale and global appeal of the American Dream threaten a human future on this planet in a way that neither of those civilizations could match.

Recent history is full of crackpots who foresaw elements of the current crisis. These contemptible nutcases drew guffaws if they were noticed at all. Meanwhile, the sober men of sound judgment built and maintained a civilization that has eaten the world then turned upon itself. People who can see beyond the present are more necessary than ever when the old answers have simply stopped working. So many of the ways in which we live our lives are just habit hardened into institution. The details of our daily life often have more to do with the interests of a few powerful people than with efficacy or the possibilities available to us. Instead of turning off our minds and ears when unusual people say unusual things we should be asking ourselves why we find them so threatening. Even those with so much invested in current practice could always adapt and reinvest in better ways of thinking and living. Why is change so scary?

I think people have learned to cope with the insane by pretending that it is normal. When our world is shown to be dangerously out of balance, it threatens this carefully-cultivated ignorance and the sense of well-being it allows. When Dr. Strangelove was released, it was beloved by younger audiences but reviled by older ones. Its undeniable picture of the lunacy of the Cold War was unacceptable for those who had helped construct that world. It caused them to feel the fear and shame which were the natural human responses to a thoroughly unnatural way of living. The reverence and consensus reality needed to stave off these uncomfortable feelings melted under the dark humor at the heart of Kubrick’s film.

We will have to learn to accept how unreal our world is. Our homes, our jobs, our politics, our culture and our lives are built around a series of expectations formed during a unique moment in history when the world was nearly destroyed and America alone stood unscathed, unrivaled in wealth and power. Those days have long passed, and the plenty they promised faded into memory for all but a few.

We can recover and even thrive in the years to come, but it will mean accepting new ideas regardless of the source. Workable ways of building a human future are not going to come from people saying the expected things and behaving in expected ways. They are going to come from the strange, the unusual, and the awkward. We need to be able to think in a way that allows us to perceive the value of ideas even if they scare us a little, because accepting the status quo is the most frightening idea of all.

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Retire John Mica

Some of the finest folks I’ve met are lobbyists.

-John Mica

Our Representative in Congress!John Mica, one of the most retrograde of the pay-to-play brigade, is running for reelection again. This is a man who believes that women should die rather than receiving abortions that could save their life. He pushed to get pork for his campaign contributors into the stimulus bill, then voted against it. He wants to cut taxes across the board and increase spending, as if we weren’t bleeding red ink catastrophically. He wants to increase the maximum allowable contribution to federal candidates in an age when working Americans can’t even get in the door to the legislative process. This oligarch is a living insult to the tens of millions of Americans struggling to survive in the wreckage of an economy rigged in favor of the special interests Mica loves so dearly.

Yet, inexplicably, in every one of the four campaigns I have worked on to defeat this man, multiple people have pulled me aside to explain in  hushed tones, “you realize that Mica is unbeatable, right?” He is accorded magical properties. I’ve seen enough politics to know that it contains no magic. A strong candidate with a coherent and resonant message can beat this man. Barack Obama may have lost the district (by three points, a rain shower would have tipped it in his favor), but people are frightened now in a way in which most of them have never been scared before. The American way of life seems to be collapsing around our heads, and John Mica continues to whistle a happy tune.

The good news is that, unlike in 2004, Mica is not running unopposed. (Amended 6/29: Faye Armitage, the 2008 Democratic US House nominee who raised $32,929 and suffered a twenty-four point defeat to … Mica, told me tonight that she is still “testing the waters” and that her decision would hinge on how successful her fund-raising efforts were. She did not choose to quantify her money test, nor to comment on the persistent rumors about her decision to drop out of the race.)

Three declared and two filed candidates have come forward, all Democrats. Stephen Bacon, an accountant, originally filed as an Independent before amending his Statement of Candidacy to change his party affiliation to Democrat. His issue is education, an idiosyncratic choice for a Congresional candidate. He has done little or nothing to campaign. I breathe Seventh District Democratic politics, and I’ve never met the man. Not a good sign. (I met Stephen today at the Volusia County Women’s Democratic Club Picnic and he was not education-focused, instead offering a complex policy proposal involving accounting rules and a “For the People” tagline)

Peter Silva, a retail bank branch manager, is somewhat more promising. A former vice-chair of the St. Johns DEC, he has been knocking on doors in St. Johns County, trying to close off the home territory of Faye Armitage, 2008′s sacrificial lamb. He is intelligent and dedicated, but plodding, a poor quality for this race. He has yet to build a team, and his de facto campaign manager, formerly briefly of the Armitage campaign, lives in California. He is hesitant on personnel matters, which is a particular problem when viewed in light of the next candidate.

Set to file on July 1 and to announce on July 7, Heather Beaven is a non-profit CEO and Navy veteran who has made an interesting choice for her campaign manager.

(full disclosure: Beaven’s campaign manger is my girlfriend, but the candidate and I are not friendly at the moment, my having left her campaign.)

Lisa Walker is running the Beaven campaign after cutting her teeth on the grassroots Obama movement. In the course of that effort and her successful bid as an Obama delegate to the DNC last August, she built an extensive network of contacts throughout the district which she has plundered shamelessly for her candidate’s benefit. She has ransacked local schools, Stetson University in particular, for interns. Any candidate trying to build street teams is going to find the cupboard bare and a friendly note from Lisa. Fund-raising is going to be the rub as always, but this campaign will do better than the other two. If the campaign can build a coherent and appealing message, Beaven stands the best chance among the current candidates. She has an appealing personal story and an engaging retail style. She is energetic and dedicated.

The X factor is the body of persistent rumors concerning Joyce Cusack, the termed-out former 27th District State Rep. She would almost certainly win the nomination if she ran, but the demographics of the district do not favor her for the General. She seems more likely, absent an open seat, to run for State Senate.

I urge Progressives to support one of these candidates. Don’t send your money out of the district this cycle, folks. Mica needs to go down, and this our last crack before they re-Gerrymander the District.

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Over in Iran?

_iran_protest_l_1806_getty

Security forces managed to intimidate protesters from appearing en masse at Neda Agha Soltan’s funeral. A senior cleric called for the death of protest leaders, Mousavi’s leadership of the protest movement has wavered and morale among pro-democracy students appears to be on the decline. Protests have been thinning, and the massive show of force seems to have done its job.  The government, and the clerics above it, appear to be secure.

Or are they? One of the strengths of the regime has always been its relative legitimacy compared with those of the Shah and Iran’s neighbors. Most urban Iranians chafe under the Islamic Republic, but they have long made accommodations with it, and it with them. The founding and the war that followed, while bringing great hardship, created a national unity and a mythology that cushioned the political costs of the brutal repression which accompanied them. Many young Iranians live double lives successfully, satisfying the public demands for piety while pursuing fun, companionship and love behind closed doors. The election process has often functioned remarkably well, yielding moderate governments that have made sustained efforts at rapprochement with the West. But all these deviations from the hard line took place within the clerical system, the legitimacy of clerical rule unquestioned. Even Mousavi is a figure of undiminished loyalty to Khomeni and the regime he created. Political change was perfectly allowable in a context in which constitutional change was impossible. Stability was thus preserved.

The brutal repression of the post-election demonstrations and the failure of the clerics to stem or even oppose it has undermined the legitimacy of the Republic among the urban young at a historical moment in which they could not be more important to Iran’s future. Seventy percent of the Iranian population is under thirty and Iran is seeking to build a self-sufficient nation that can stand as a regional power and exert influence on the world’s stage. Accomplishing this without the willing cooperation of the very people whose friends have been gunned down on the street with the public approval of the highest authority will be utterly impossible.

The repression has been a strategic error of the first order. Political challenges in Iran have been cyclical, but the next one will be a threat to the constitution and clerical rule, not just the President. When this happens, the revolt will be led for the first time by people outside the system. They will have no stake in the Republic or clerical rule. They can no longer be coopted and the results will either be revolution or genocide. Khameni would have been better advised to overturn the election and install Mousavi, who posed no threat. Instead the system has created the means of its own destruction.

Thinking the Unthinkable

Family PicnicWe live in a strange time in American public life. Many of the truths we have held as immutable are revealing themselves to be aspects of a special and transient post-war world that is rapidly becoming untenable. From our identical homes on quarter-acre lots thirty miles away from work to our massive military forces securing the raw materials necessary to preserve this mausoleum civilization, from the escalating costs of education and health care to our steadily mounting debt financed by economic and strategic rivals, the post-war order is fraying badly and will fail completely more sooner than later.

And this isn’t all that weird. All civilizations face these moments. What is odd is that those who do think strategically and historically about the country we live in are treated as dreamers, starry-eyed fanatics not fit for adult company. Those who pretend that Levittown can be built heedlessly into the sea and the great beyond are treated as the serious, rational players in public life.

From our industrial food culture making us sick to our SUVs running out of fuel and road and our mounting debts, we are reaching the point of crisis. A functional society would wake up and accept the truth about our future. But people who have told some uncomfortable truths about our way of life are dismissed as cranks. Admitting to any areas of agreement with Michael Pollan, Noam Chomsky, Howard Zinn, or Ron Paul will exile you to the kids’ table. Visionary engineers like Fuller, Telsa or Ovshinsky found their patents bought by corporations who bury them and are remembered, if at all, as nutcases and mad scientists.

We believe things in this country that are virtually unique in the developed world. The idea that evolution is controversial is a national embarrassment. The belief in the selfless exceptionality of America on the world stage requires a carefully honed ignorance of our history that defies credulity. The national fear of change borders on paranoia. We demand to be treated as the big brothers of the world, wise and strong. But our national discourse is the rhetorical equivalent of a toddler with her ears plugged droning “la,la, la.”

If heedlessness is the test of gravitas we are in serious trouble.

The Pathology of Race

Only in America can a poor Black boy grow up to be a rich White woman

- Anonymous

A sad figure passed from the American stage today, and a little reflection should serve to remind us of the sick racism that remains deeply embedded in our culture. This was a man who, from childhood wealthy and famous, could still not shake his self-loathing hatred of his own skin. He built himself a fantasy world in which he could be androgenously prepubescent forever in a baroque microcosm of pre-Boom White culture, a world that only began to collapse in the few years before his death.

Michael Jackson inhabited many fault-lines in our culture, masculine/feminine, straight/gay, black/white. He tried so hard to pretend that he was a normal heterosexual black man comfortable in his own skin when the contrary evidence rolled in waves over the public image of this sad, troubled man. This conflict helped produce some of the most bizarre public behavior and perverse private flaws of any major American celebrity.

Although most of us are more comfortable in our own skins than Mr. Jackson, let him serve as a warning that if we want a healthier culture, we need to be on better terms with the truth about ourselves and each other.