Posts Tagged kendrick meek

The Myth of Omnicompetence

Cats and canaries?Politics is stupid, and the people who engage in political life have to be stupid and/or crazy.

If you’re running in, say, the New Hampshire Primary, and a story leaks about something you said seventeen years ago in jest at a party, and the media and opposition whip it up into a referendum on your character, the functional human response is to tell the voters: “If you’re that stupid, you can go screw yourselves. I’m going fishing in Montana.” Anybody who puts up with that is a masochist or a megalomaniac. And that’s the pool from which we pick our presidents.

Politics is an incredibly complex profession with its own lore, nomenclature, and rules, but unlike other such professions, like law, engineering, or medicine, every angry stockbroker or machinist thinks she knows how to do the job. Try complaining about your cancer treatment being dominated by “career oncologists” and see how silly you sound. We suffer severe cognitive dissonance about our political life, dismissing all candidates for office as crooks and deviants, but expecting them to make us opulent and immortal. We can call Congressman Jones an alcoholic reprobate pedophile in one breath while in the next cursing him for not getting our cat out of a tree. Despite that, we think we’re insiders if we choose a screaming heads show with our meatloaf instead of professional wrestling, as if there were any salient difference.

A career in politics tends to alienate one from the concerns of the public because there is NOTHING more distracting than the political process. The endless rush of compromises and deal making on the Hill, and the relentless drive to raise more money and get more press to stay in the job, combine to make one forget the effects that power has on every living thing on this planet. The labyrinthine process of legislation and the public dance of pundits and polls couldn’t have less to do with one another.

Despite these conditions and against all odds, there are people in office who belong there. They can come through the sewer of modern politics clean enough to eat off, always remembering why they are there and who they are there to serve. They can’t always be honest about that because the people they serve just don’t vote in large numbers, but those of us who watch the process know who they are. They are more precious than gold, because the system really would collapse without them and because the system is specifically designed to shuck them off.

I (sorta) know Kendrick Meek, and everything I’ve seen has convinced me he is one of those people. One of the few safe-seat members to show real statewide savvy, he is a skilled and personable retail politician of the old school. Not only does he vote in ways that make sense given the knowledge he has at the time, he has run his campaign in a way specifically designed to obligate himself to rank-and-file Democrats while still courting the big donors he needs to win in a state with 10 Designated Media Markets. His campaign has kept its cool under chaotic conditions, with three major shifts in the race’s outlook. I really don’t know how he could have run a smarter race. I will never agree with everything any politician does or says, but Congressman Meek is as sure a bet as I can find.

So, just when events shift to permit an African-American Progressive Populist to win a Senate seat in a state frightened by all three things, a wrinkle conveniently appears.

A few years ago, a merely very rich man became impressively wealthy by betting big against American homeowners at just the right time. He likes celebrities, fancy parties, and luxury travel. He married an actress and enjoys his privacy. He made a vanity run for Congress as a Republican in California in 1982, in the wake of the millionaire-pleasing Reagan Revolution. He’s pretty much another innocuous, vanilla billionaire in a country where they’re not that rare.

But, for some reason this man woke up one morning and said to himself, “You know what? Not only am I suddenly a public intellectual, I’m also a committed Progressive Democrat! I’m going to run for the open Senate seat. You know, the one in the state I have lived in for three years.”

Now, I don’t know when this internal monologue took place, but giving him the benefit of the doubt, I have to assume this was more than a year ago. So, instead of forming an official exploratory committee and building a base within the party, he waits a year or more and ambushes Meek in a Primary just when the race changes shape with Crist’s jump, a tactic that cost him several million dollars to plug a name-recognition hole that would not have existed had he taken a more conventional approach. There’s a reason many Democratic activists think he’s a spoiler.

So, this man indelibly associated with Credit Default Swaps in the wake of an economic catastrophe indelibly linked in the public’s mind with the proliferation of exactly those instruments knows he has a political problem. How to solve it? Like an only child who has just broken the cookie jar, he runs the other way and blames the dog. (apologies to Kendrick) Jeff Greene is now an anti-poverty crusader whose base is in Liberty City! Now, that’s political dexterity. I mean, I’ve changed parties a couple of times, but Holy Crap! That’s like Pat Buchanan turning into Noam Chomsky! Arianna Huffington, take notes.

So, he spends enough to start a community redevelopment fund, launches into Kendrick Meek, blames him for the economic crisis, pulls some anti-Fannie Mae rants out of his Republican “past,” criticizes him for not creating enough jobs, drags his mother into the race to swear what a good boy Jeff is, and in general sounds like he’s running against Kendrick Meek for the job of chief economic planner rather than freshman Senator. Now, I’ve been racking my brain trying to think of a class of Democratic Primary voter who is not supposed to be insulted by this reasoning and I can’t come up with one.

Greene is using the old line about rich businessmen knowing more about how to create jobs than “career politicians.” This is a strange argument given that he made his money by exploiting exactly the informational asymmetries that have distorted the economy so badly in the first place. His language comes right out of the Rick Scott playbook, and Democrats can be forgiven for expecting him to be just as Progressive as Mr. Scott. He launches into an economic plan as if he doesn’t know the difference between freshman Senator and President.

Most insulting of all, it seems to be working. The polls have pulled even. It remains to be seen what the actual turnout will be in the Primary (always unpredictable), but if Greene can spend his way into the General, the Republicans keep the seat (a child could do their ads), Meek does something more rewarding than human punching bag, and we are all worse off for it. If money alone can turn Jeff Greene into Cesar Chavez, then I might as well go make some money in some other business where we rip people off retail instead of wholesale.

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Meek: Not Losing Senate Race

44510343I’ve liked Kendrick Meek and his campaign ever since I met him in January. Super GF Lisa was a big fan and tried to get us jobs on the campaign. We failed at this, but remain committed supporters of the Congressman, securing hundreds of petition signatures in Volusia County. A gregarious but serious man with witty but bearable children and an impossibly attractive and sharp wife, not liking Kendrick Meek is a symptom of some personality disorder. While he is undeniably the Kendrick Meek of the manicured life and the high-flying friends, he’s also surprisingly Progressive and committed to the plight of Americans on the edge. And yet, even though he is running a well-organized, well-funded, and well-connected campaign, the Party seems to find ways of marginalizing the man, like giving him the tail-end time slot after the one-sentence speeches by the House candidates, while the delegates were eating lunch. He faced a half-empty room and gave a rousing speech to people who were already backing him, while freshmen like Alan Grayson got choice slots to fuel his re-election campaign to the US House.

On Sunday Morning at the State Conference, after the AG’s debate, The Kendrick Meek campaign held a combined press/new media event with three professional reporters and a handful of bloggers. The campaign’s new chair and the newish new media director were present and began the briefing before the arrival of the candidate. They were delighted about a poll that showed the Crist-Meek gap to be not 18 points, as last month’s poll showed, but a mere 14. Hey, advocacy is their job. They had it partially broken down and showed where Crist’s numbers were soft, which we knew. A great deal of emphasis was placed on an 800 LV phone poll with an MoE of 4.

But it’s hard to imagine a poll can be meaningful 13 months out when one’s opponent is the sitting governor of a state with huge budget liabilities and angry citizens. Crist’s decision to leave the Governor’s mansion and run for the seat mid-term in the middle of a budget crisis has always seemed callous to me. When some of my more Republican-friendly acquaintances told me he was going to do it, I suggested that there were cheaper methods of political suicide. Chalk another one up for the genius.

The real reporters questioned the validity of the poll, and I had technical questions. The real reporters asked inside baseball questions about the emergence of yet more penniless candidates in a crowded field that includes safe-seat fixture Corrine Brown from bizarrely gerrymandered District 3 . By this time, Kendrick had come in and addressed the reporter’s questions in a even, focused tone I found effective. He then went on to criticize a St. Pete Times reporter for a story that reported the empty room the day before without explaining why the room was empty. The effect was deceptive, but Meek was not making his case. There’s no way to complain about coverage and sound above the fray. Reporters go for the superficial. It’s their way of being “fair.” Analysis is spin. Besides, they might all be replaced with fashion reporters next Tuesday, so who the hell cares?

I saw near-universal Meek support among the delegates. Meek stickers were at least as omnipresent as Obama stickers in the parking lot. There is no doubt he will win the nomination, and in that sense the St. Pete piece was deceptive, because it strongly implied the nomination was up for grabs.

Reporters asked repeatedly about third-quarter fundraising numbers, which were still not public. The Chair delayed releasing the numbers until they finished spinning the poll. Then he announced that the campaign raised just under $800,000 in the first quarter, not enough to catch up with Crist. He promised three major fundraisers in the fourth quarter, two with former President Bill Clinton. If he can’t crack a million and a half then, something will be wrong.

One of the odd moments was when a reporter seemed on the verge of asking whether a black man could be elected Senator in Florida. He didn’t want to ask that question and it sort of visibly morphed into whether a man from Miami was electable statewide.

This was my first media event, so I’ll suspend judgement. The overwhelming impressions were the dearth of political savvy among the bloggers, the cynicism of the press, the tightly controlled candidate, and the transparent spin of the campaign staff. Other than two numbers and two scheduled events, I was no more enlightened than when I got there. Since everyone in the room had a Blackberry, it might have been avoided altogether.

Honestly, I’m worried Crist might knock Kendrick off, just by name-recognition alone. But it’s a hell of a long time between here and there. By choosing to get on the ballot by petition, he’s putting his money into voter contact where the response rates are higher. Crist will thus be able to out-TV him in the General. Countering that in the field will take the kind of specialized social-media tools we saw in the Obama campaign and that are as yet unseen in Meek’s campaign. The whole strategy is a risky bet. Large states are always won on television. Clinton won most large states in the primaries. The trend is aggravated by the likely low turnout in a mid-term race. If the petition strategy has a hidden advantage, this is it. Turnout operations are easier when you have all those voter contacts.

Anyway, good luck to Kendrick and his team. Hint: always feed the reporters. Worked for George W.

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Steve Schale Endorses Kendrick Meek for US Senate

Kendrick MeekMr. Schale, the director of Florida for Change, is an immensely influential Democrat whose endorsement of Rep. Meek is an acknowledgment that the Primary race is all but over.

The General election, however, is a different matter altogether. As of the last reporting period, Rep. Meek has raised $2,680,339, while Gov. Christ has raised $4,399,948. Large majorities of both candidates’ funding is from individual contributions, so this is a trend likely to continue.

In a state with four major media markets, money is the most important factor. Unless Congressman Meek can close the fundraising gap, he will lose this race. He’s relied a little more on PAC money than Crist, so that avenue is likely to be dried up for him. He can, however, tap the pockets of national Democrats, thanks to an apparent relationship with Bill Clinton, who appeared at his first fundraiser.

Good luck to the Congressman.

Give to Kendrick here.

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